짤방/유머

토트넘이 2군으로 강등될 확률이 얼마나 되는지 AI에게 물어봤더니

남부오카방고2026-03-14목록으로 건너뛰기

<p><img class="-up-content -lazy-image" alt="" org-width="1440" org-height="1918" src="/img/transparent.gif" data="https://ncache.ilbe.com/files/attach/new/20260314/377678/11436513126/11610300567/bcff806b270e1202724f88386dcda886_11610300723.jpg"><br> </p><p> </p><div style="color: black; background-color: transparent; font-family: sans-serif;"><div dir="ltr" class="css-146c3p1 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-37j5jr r-hbpseb r-16dba41 r-imh66m" style="background-color: transparent;"><div class="css-175oi2r" style="background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-1adg3ll r-1g7jtus r-1x3r274" style="direction: ltr; background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-1x3r274" style="background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="background-color: transparent;">현재(2026년 3월 14일 기준) 토트넘 홋스퍼(Spurs)의 프리미어리그 강등 가능성은 </span></span><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-b88u0q r-1x3r274" style="background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-1x3r274" style="background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="background-color: transparent;">대략 14~16%</span></span></span></span><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-1x3r274" style="background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="background-color: transparent;"> 정도로 평가되고 있어요.</span></span></span></span><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-1adg3ll r-1x3r274 r-p1pxzi" style="direction: ltr; background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-1x3r274" style="background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="background-color: transparent;">주요 근거는 다음과 같아요:</span></span></span></span><ul dir="ltr" style="padding-inline-start: 2em; margin-block: 0px 1.25em; background-color: transparent;"><li style="margin-top: 0px; background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-b88u0q r-1x3r274" style="background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-1x3r274" style="background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="background-color: transparent;">현재 순위 및 상황</span></span></span></span><br style="background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-1x3r274" style="background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="background-color: transparent;">29경기 치른 상태에서 7승 8무 14패, 승점 29점으로 </span></span><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-b88u0q r-1x3r274" style="background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-1x3r274" style="background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="background-color: transparent;">16위</span></span></span></span><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-1x3r274" style="background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="background-color: transparent;">예요.</span></span><br style="background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-1x3r274" style="background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="background-color: transparent;">강등권(18위 웨스트햄)과 </span></span><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-b88u0q r-1x3r274" style="background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-1x3r274" style="background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="background-color: transparent;">승점 1점 차이</span></span></span></span><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-1x3r274" style="background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="background-color: transparent;">밖에 안 나고, 최근 </span></span><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-b88u0q r-1x3r274" style="background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-1x3r274" style="background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="background-color: transparent;">5연패 + 11경기 무승</span></span></span></span><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-1x3r274" style="background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="background-color: transparent;">이라는 최악의 부진을 겪고 있어요.</span></span><br style="background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-1x3r274" style="background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="background-color: transparent;">2026년 들어서 리그에서 아직 승리가 없다는 게 심각한 문제죠.</span></span></span></li><li style="margin-top: 0.5em; background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-b88u0q r-1x3r274" style="background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-1x3r274" style="background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="background-color: transparent;">강등 확률 수치 (주요 출처)</span></span></span></span><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-1x3r274" style="background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="background-color: transparent;"> </span></span></span><ul style="padding-inline-start: 2em; list-style-type: disc; margin-block: 0.75em; background-color: transparent;"><li style="margin-top: 0px; background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-1x3r274" style="background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="background-color: transparent;">Opta 슈퍼컴퓨터: </span></span><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-b88u0q r-1x3r274" style="background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-1x3r274" style="background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="background-color: transparent;">16.1%</span></span></span></span><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-1x3r274" style="background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="background-color: transparent;"> (최근 크리스탈 팰리스전 패배 후 거의 2배 가까이 상승) </span></span></span></li><li style="margin-top: 0.5em; background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-1x3r274" style="background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="background-color: transparent;">일부 베팅 사이트/북메이커 implied probability: </span></span><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-b88u0q r-1x3r274" style="background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-1x3r274" style="background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="background-color: transparent;">14.3%</span></span></span></span><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-1x3r274" style="background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="background-color: transparent;"> (6/1 배당 기준) </span></span></span></li><li style="margin-top: 0.5em; background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-1x3r274" style="background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="background-color: transparent;">다른 곳에서는 일시적으로 13.4%나 35%까지도 언급됐지만, 가장 신뢰도 높은 Opta 기준으로는 </span></span><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-b88u0q r-1x3r274" style="background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-1x3r274" style="background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="background-color: transparent;">16% 내외</span></span></span></span><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-1x3r274" style="background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="background-color: transparent;">가 현재 가장 현실적인 수치예요.</span></span></span></li></ul></li><li style="margin-top: 0.5em; background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-1x3r274" style="background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="background-color: transparent;">비교 </span></span></span><ul style="padding-inline-start: 2em; list-style-type: disc; margin-block: 0.75em; background-color: transparent;"><li style="margin-top: 0px; background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-1x3r274" style="background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="background-color: transparent;">18위 웨스트햄: 약 49% </span></span></span></li><li style="margin-top: 0.5em; background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-1x3r274" style="background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="background-color: transparent;">17위 노팅엄 포레스트: 약 26~28% </span></span></span></li><li style="margin-top: 0.5em; background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-1x3r274" style="background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="background-color: transparent;">19위 번리 & 20위 울버햄튼: 거의 99% 이상 (사실상 확정급)</span></span></span></li></ul></li></ul><p><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-1adg3ll r-1g7jtus r-1x3r274" style="direction: ltr; background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-1x3r274" style="background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="background-color: transparent;">아직 시즌이 끝난 게 아니고 남은 경기가 9경기 정도 남아서, 토트넘의 잔여 일정과 감독(현재 이고르 투도르) 교체 여부, 선수단 반등 여부에 따라 크게 변동될 수 있어요.</span></span><br style="background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-1x3r274" style="background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="background-color: transparent;">하지만 지금 폼과 분위기만 보면 </span></span><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-b88u0q r-1x3r274" style="background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-1x3r274" style="background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="background-color: transparent;">"설마 토트넘이 강등되겠어?"</span></span></span></span><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-1x3r274" style="background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="background-color: transparent;"> 하던 말이 **"진짜 위험하다"**로 바뀐 상황이에요.</span></span></span></span><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-1adg3ll r-1x3r274 r-p1pxzi" style="direction: ltr; background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-1x3r274" style="background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="background-color: transparent;">빅6 중 하나가 강등되는 건 프리미어리그 역사상 매우 드문 일이니, 토트넘 팬 입장에서는 정말 불안한 시기일 거예요. 그래도 아직 16% 정도면 </span></span><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-b88u0q r-1x3r274" style="background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-1x3r274" style="background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="background-color: transparent;">희망은 남아 있다</span></span></span></span><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-1x3r274" style="background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="background-color: transparent;">고 볼 수 있겠네요. 남은 경기에서 반전이 있기를!</span></span></span></span></p><p><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-1adg3ll r-1x3r274 r-p1pxzi" style="direction: ltr; background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-1x3r274" style="background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="background-color: transparent;">.</span></span></span></span></p><p> </p><p> </p><p><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-1adg3ll r-1x3r274 r-p1pxzi" style="direction: ltr; background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-1x3r274" style="background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="background-color: transparent;">그 와중에 울버햄튼</span></span></span></span></p><p><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-1adg3ll r-1x3r274 r-p1pxzi" style="direction: ltr; background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-1x3r274" style="background-color: transparent;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="background-color: transparent;">희찬이 우짜노</span></span></span></span></p></div></div></div>

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